When thinking of critical factors for startup success, marketing, capital, planning, and innovative thinking may immediately come to mind. These are all undoubtedly important elements in any company’s advancement, but this list fails to include perhaps the most critical factor in startup success: timing.
In the context of this article, good timing is defined as: “a point when the market has changed, or the technology has changed, such that now is the right time to acquire the most customers at the lowest cost” (Lawrence). In practice, good timing can be determined by answering the simple question “why now?” In other words, what makes the current state of the world a place where people want what you provide? If you can answer this question easily it is likely the timing is right for your business. If not, this is no guarantee your business lacks a market, but it may be an impetus to shift your target consumers or how you market your product.
The importance of timing in startup success has been pushed by prominent figures in the start-up scene such as IdeaLab founder Bill Gross, who gave a TedTalk on his perspective in 2015. In fact, Gross’ analysis of the differences between successful and failed startups concluded that timing accounted for 42% of the difference between success and failure. Meanwhile, team/execution accounted for 32% of the difference, idea for 28%, business model for 24%, and finally funding for 14%.
Prime examples of success as a result of timing include AirBnB and Youtube. AirBnB debuted at the height of the 2007 recession when many Americans were looking for additional income sources. This incentive combined with a new openness to a sharing economy enabled the simple concept of a new way to rent to become the $38 billion company it is today. Youtube was far from the first video sharing platform. In fact, by the time it launched there were already dozens of similar video-sharing platforms. However, because Youtube launched just after high-speed Internet had become the norm, but before any other streaming service had become prominent, it was able to capitalize on radical early success.
At first glance, it can seem as if timing is nearly synonymous with luck. How could AirBnB and Youtube have planned such a ripe market for their respective businesses? Timing does not come to luck however, and there is a multitude of tools to correctly time the launch of any startup. Two prominent tools to analyze timing are PESTEL analysis and Industry Structure Analysis, also known as Porter Five Forces Analysis. PESTEL stands for the political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental factors that can impact your market. Industry Structure Analysis was popularized by Harvard Business School professor Michael Porter and examines similar factors.
While there are numerous important factors in launching a startup, timing is likely the most important, while simultaneously being one of the most overlooked. To examine the timing of one’s business with any quantitative or qualitative tool is an easy way to maximize success and minimize risk.
James Simon is a freshman at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology based out of Ann Arbor, MI. He serves as the Lab Scientist for the Product Development Lab at Elev Labs.
Sources:
Henry, P. (2017, November 09). Why Timing Is the Most Important Factor in Ensuring Your Startup's Success (and What to Do About It). Retrieved August 10, 2020, from https://www.inc.com/patrick-henry/want-to-launch-an-explosively-growing-startup-heres-why-timing-is-huge.html
Lawrence, J. (2018, December 05). How To Think About Timing: The Most Important Factor In Startup Success. Retrieved August 10, 2020, from https://medium.com/boulder-bits/how-to-think-about-timing-the-most-important-factor-in-startup-success-1f4528bc5690
The single biggest reason why start-ups succeed - youtube.com. (n.d.). Retrieved August 10, 2020, from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bNpx7gpSqbY